Ethical Problems of Forecasting in Practical Geopolitics

Authors:

Pages: 20-26
DOI: https://doi.org/10.54664/EVUI5883

Abstract:

Practical geopolitics is identified as a real or declarative applied activity. It is characterized by a high degree of institutional commitment and subjectivism, presented in the form of political expediency. In practical geopolitics, forecasting is carried out in the depths of the so-called “analytical centres” or “think tanks,” claiming to shorten the distance between academic works and policies, providing intellectual products that reach the general public faster and that are more accessible to incumbent politicians who are “too busy” to engage in more thorough analyses. However, their conceptual results rather tend to crowd out fundamental research, because the latter influence decision-makers in the long-term perspective and make a significant contribution to the construction of the cognitive structures on which the leadership relies when determining its foreign policy approaches.

Keywords:

рractical geopolitics; еxpert forecasts; think tanks; futurology.

Download

NA